INTERNATIONAL COSMODYNAMIC WEATHERFORECAST/25. Solar Sun Spot Cycle- special SEP report

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site status:

completed

scroll down to my Solar cycle 25 special event report

latest news:

20241216 after 16 URC: a new solar SPE- rather weak but with long endurance occured on Dezember 16 . On Dezember 20 values still remained below treshold of 10 pfu.

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1. cosmodynamic weather forecast- December 2024

provided by universal-news.de

Astronomical constellations December 01 2024:

weathersymbols

16

8.12. >

20. 12. >

R- 15,12 >

8.12. (R) >

26,12 (R)>

8.12. (R)

21.12. (R)>

22.3.

15.12./ 08 UTC

1.11./ 13 UTC
30.12. 22 UTC

9.12./ 20 UTC

22.122./ 23 UTC

18.12. / 09 UTC high

5.12. / 17 UTC- low

28.12. / 12 UTC

14.12./ 11 UTC

none

links to

all other

months >

(will be

constructed

in 2023)

...

NORTHERN HEMISPHERE*

green= seeding*

brown= plant*

Date

Day

Begin (UTC)

Tendency

Temperatures

Air

Precipitation

Wind

dynamics

warnings

watering

gardening

plantin
g >

until 10

seeding after 10 UTC

211

on SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE opposite. seeding time = planting time, upward node =downward node- upper soltice = low soltice

part II

welcome to

Solar cycle 25

-special- Solar Proton events

and their terrestrial "coincidences" resp. effects.

2024-December 16 AFTER 16 UTC	SOLAR PARTICLE EVENT
INVOLVED ACTIVE SOLAR REGION:	unknown AR near western limb ( front sided)
New SDO imagery is unavailable due to severe damage after flooding (broken pipe) at the processing facility on November 26, 2024. Reports from November 27 onwards will be updated when images become available in 2025.
MAJOR X- RAY EVENTS
EARTH DIRECTED CME EVENTS:
ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME
CME IMPACT SIZE ON GOES

SEP:
(1)PROTON IMPACT BEGIN	20241216/ 16 UTC
MAXIMUM
(2)ELECTRON ACCUMULATION	NOT JET
MAXIMUM
MEASUREMENTS BACK TO NORMAL:
NASA D RAP: (2) 20241216:
SOLAR MAP SOLEN. INFO	FLARE IMAGE SOHO- SDO

SEP IMAGE STEREO AHEAD	longitudes
(2) 20241216:
PROTON ARRIVAL (GOES)	ACTIVE ELECTRONS (PHASE II)
(2) new solar SPE on 20241216 after 16 UTC:	20241210: begin of late electron accumulation after SEP on 20120909
TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS:
REGIONS WITH THEORETIC POSSIBILITY OF STRONGER MAGMATIC HOTSPOT ACTIVITIES AND EARTHQUAKES :
Main SEP IMPACT ZONES / LONGITUDES :	geomagnetic longitude
RELATED:	SOLAR OBSERVATORIES
GOES- Proton FLUX	SOLAR TERRESTRIAL RELATIONS OBSERVATORY (STEREO)
GOES Electron flux	SDO
GOES X ray solar flares	SoHO
GOES GEOMAGNETIC FIELD	REGULARY SPECIAL REPORTS
Advanced Composition Explorer	Solen.info
NASA D RAP- particle absorption	NASA SOLAR ACTIVITY REPORT
RADIO SWEEPS/ BLACKOUTS	kkkk
CME EVOLUTION	POLAR LIGHTS

COINCIDENT TERRESTRIAL EVENTS
: St Andreas fault: the intensive swarm quake in Nevada near to the epicenter of the 7.0 quake on Dez 12 is continuing with hundreds of minor quakes between 2.0 and 4.0 over the past days.
SOLAR: -months after the full hit of an extreme SPE with almost 1000 pfu., the integral electron flux is as expected rising now with a two months latency due to the meanwhile decreasing proton activity and may exceed treshold of 1000 pfu soon. WARNING! This can bring more major magmatic earthquakes and volcanic activities...

magmatic swarm quake activity has so far also increased mainly on the Canary Islands and on Northern California`s sequence of the St Andreas fault near Mammot Lake, but also on Iceland and Hawaii, near the coast of El Salvador and even (very seldom!) in the Eifel volcanic field near Koblenz Germany .Magnitude 0.7
Region GERMANY

Earthquake swarms: ( > 10 per day)

Eifel volcano field/ near Koblenz , Germany ( magmatic)

Magnitude 2.4
Region GERMANY
Date time 2024-12-25 07:40:46.3 UTC
Location 50.220 ; 7.950
Depth 20 km
Distance 26 km WNW of Wiesbaden, Germany / pop: 272,000 /
local time: 08:40:46.3 2024-12-25
12 km NW of Bad Schwalbach, Germany / pop: 11,100 /
local time: 08:40:46.3 2024-12-25

Magnitude 0.7
Region GERMANY
Date time 2024-12-10 15:21:34.3 UTC
Location 50.105 ; 7.351
Depth 11 km
Distance 32 km SSW of Koblenz, Germany / pop: 107,000 /
local time: 16:21:34.3 2024-12-10
8 km WNW of Kastellaun, Germany / pop: 5,200 /
local time: 16:21:34.3 2024-12-10

Magnitude 2.9
Region CANARY ISLANDS, SPAIN REGION
Date time 2024-12-10 06:43:08.3 UTC
Location 28.100 ; -16.154 Depth 12 km
Distance 42 km SSE of Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Spain / pop: 222,000 / local time: 06:43:08.3 2024-12-10
41 km E of Granadilla de Abona, Spain / pop: 39,900 / local time: 06:43:08.3 2024-12-10

swarm quake:
Magnitude 5.8
Region NEVADA
Date time 2024-12-09 23:08:33.8 UTC
Location 39.165 ; -119.049
Depth 10 km
Distance 77 km ESE of Reno, United States / pop: 241,000 / local time: 15:08:33.8 2024-12-09 32 km SE of Silver Springs, United States / pop: 5,200 / local time: 15:08:33.8 2024-12-09

Earthquakes :
Magnitude 6.3 numerous afterquakes
Region ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS.
Date time 2024-12-08 19:57:08.2 UTC
Location 51.043 ; -177.319 Depth 15 km

Magnitude 6.0
Region KURIL ISLANDS
Date time 2024-12-08 10:25:00.7 UTC
Location 48.816 ; 152.387 Depth 217 km

Magnitude 5.2
Region ICELAND
Date time 2024-12-08 01:49:45.0 UTC
Location 64.527 ; -17.509 Depth 10 km
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Magnitude 7.0
Region OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
Date time 2024-12-05 18:44:24.8 UTC Location 40.374 ; -125.022
Depth 15 km Distance 280 km W of Chico, United States / pop: 121,000 /
local time: 10:44:24.8 2024-12-05
77 km WSW of Fortuna, United States / pop: 12,000 /
local time: 10:44:24.8 2024-12-05

hundreds of afterquakes
reports:
CNN: Tsunami warning issued in Northern California after 7.0-magnitude earthquake strikes off the coast

VOLCANIC EVENT
DATE

NAME OF VOLCANO:
REGION:
ON MAP:
GOOGLE EARTH:
ALERT LEVEL

REPORTS:

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VOLCANIC EVENT
DATE

NAME OF VOLCANO:
REGION:
ON MAP:
GOOGLE EARTH:
ALERT LEVEL

REPORTS:
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