INTERNATIONAL COSMODYNAMIC WEATHERFORECAST/25. Solar Sun Spot Cycle- special SEP report

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1. cosmodynamic weather forecast

OCTOBER 2024

provided by universal-news.de

SOLAR EVENTS:

20241007/ after 23 UTC: News solar proton event ( SPE) . Proton storm yet reaching 98 pfu -still rising.

update: 20241009 LARGEST SOLAR STORM ( PROTON EVENT) SINCE AT LEAST ONE DECADE!

thOOn early morning of October 0ß9, after 2 UTC the large sunspot AR 13848 ,located not far north of the solar equator being absoluitely quiet during the past days- suddenly erupted just after passing the central solar meridian with a major Proton event, the strongest at least since the last 11 years maximum in 2012- 14., 10 MeV protons rose soon after event higher than 10 pfu and 50 MEV and 100 MeV protons also rose what is rather seldom the case. Already in the morning the proton storm has risen almost to 1000 pfu (!!) and is stabil since then on that high level.

The Earth however received a direct hit with protons speed likely near the speed of light, those will for some day circle around the earth until they get closer to cause variuos typical expectable effects such as Magmatic intrusion and volcanic events at hotspots. also radio blackputs of GPS systems freezing areblikely . Many unusual interruptions of radio transmissions TV even the Web occure4d since morning the 9th and could be already reated to this the SPE , THe primary impactbof this global SPE weas on the 60. longitude east in the Western Pacific.

Astronomical constellations :

weathersymbols

20.10->

16.10.

1.10>

16.10.

2 10>

9.10. R>

22.3.

17.10./ 12 UTC

2.10./ 20UTC

U16.10./ 8TC

29.10./ 18UTC

U22.10./ 2TC high

9.10./ 13UTC- low

U2.10./ 21 TC

29.10./ 23 UTC

17.10./ 2 UTC

none

links to

all other

months >

(will be

constructed

in 2023)

...

NORTHERN HEMISPHERE*

green= seeding*

brown= plant*

Date

Day

Begin (UTC)

Tendency

Temperatures

Air

Precipitation

Wind

dynamics

warnings

watering

gardening

plantin
g >

seeding after 10 UTC

seeding after 2 UTC

on SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE opposite. seeding time = planting time, upward node =downward node- upper soltice = low soltice

part II

welcome to

Solar cycle 25

-special- Solar Proton events

and their terrestrial "coincidences" resp. effects.

2024- October-07 after 23 UTC (2) 2024- October 09 after 02 UTC	SOLAR PARTICLE EVENT
INVOLVED ACTIVE SOLAR REGION: (2) SR 13848 WHILE PASSING TZHE CENTRAL SOLAR MERIDIAN

MAJOR X- RAY EVENTS (2)BY Solen.info: October 9: A full halo CME was observed after the X1 flare in AR 13848 early in the day. This CME will likely overtake the previously mentioned CMEs and arrive after noon on October 10.
EARTH DIRECTED CME EVENTS:
ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME (2) 20241010
CME IMPACT SIZE ON GOES

SEP:
(1)PROTON IMPACT BEGIN (2)20241009 after 2 UTC
MAXIMUM > 10 MeV Protons > 10oo pfu0pfu!!
(2)ELECTRON ACCUMULATION yet ongoing from previous SPEs	NOT JET
MAXIMUM major disturbances geomagnetic storms
MEASUREMENTS BACK TO NORMAL: expectable to last over at leastvthe next several weeks
(2) NASA D RAP
SOLAR MAP SOLEN. INFO	FLARE IMAGE SOHO- SDO
(2)
SEP IMAGE STEREO AHEAD	longitudes
(1)(2)This was the last image STEREO AHEAD made form the Proton event before it suffered a total blackout for about 5 hours:
PROTON ARRIVAL (GOES)	ACTIVE ELECTRONS (PHASE II)

TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS:
REGIONS WITH THEORETIC POSSIBILITY OF STRONGER MAGMATIC HOTSPOT ACTIVITIES AND EARTHQUAKES :
Main SEP IMPACT ZONES / LONGITUDES :	geomagnetic longitude: 170° W North America Alaska
RELATED:	SOLAR OBSERVATORIES
GOES- Proton FLUX	SOLAR TERRESTRIAL RELATIONS OBSERVATORY (STEREO)
GOES Electron flux	SDO
GOES X ray solar flares	SoHO
GOES GEOMAGNETIC FIELD	REGULARY SPECIAL REPORTS
Advanced Composition Explorer	Solen.info
NASA D RAP- particle absorption	NASA SOLAR ACTIVITY REPORT
RADIO SWEEPS/ BLACKOUTS	kkkk
CME EVOLUTION	POLAR LIGHTS

COINCIDENT TERRESTRIAL EVENT
CANARY ISLANDS MICROQUAKE SERIES

20240323 - number : 6- highest magnitude M 2.8- depth: 26 km

VOLCANIC EVENT
DATE

NAME OF VOLCANO:
REGION:
ON MAP:
GOOGLE EARTH:
ALERT LEVEL

REPORTS:

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VOLCANIC EVENT
DATE

NAME OF VOLCANO:
REGION:
ON MAP:
GOOGLE EARTH:
ALERT LEVEL

REPORTS:
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