International cosmodynamic weatherforecast OCTOBER 2024.+ 25. Solar Sun Spot Cycle- special SPE report



   

INTERNATIONAL COSMODYNAMIC WEATHERFORECAST/25. Solar Sun Spot Cycle- special SEP report

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scroll down to my  Solar cycle 25 special event report 
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1. cosmodynamic weather forecast

OCTOBER 2024


provided by universal-news.de


SOLAR EVENTS:

20241007/ after 23 UTC: News solar proton event ( SPE) . Proton storm yet reaching 98 pfu -still rising.
update: 20241009 LARGEST SOLAR STORM ( PROTON EVENT) SINCE AT LEAST ONE DECADE!
 
thOOn early morning of October 0ß9,   after 2 UTC the large sunspot AR 13848 ,located not far north of the solar equator being  absoluitely quiet during the past days- suddenly erupted just after passing the central solar meridian with a major Proton event, the strongest at  least since the last 11 years maximum in 2012- 14.,  10 MeV protons rose soon after event higher than 10 pfu and 50 MEV and 100 MeV protons also rose what is rather seldom the case. Already in the morning the proton storm has risen almost to 1000 pfu (!!) and is stabil since then on that high level. 
The Earth  however received  a direct hit with protons speed likely near the speed of light, those will for some day circle around the earth until they get closer to cause variuos typical expectable effects such as Magmatic intrusion and volcanic  events at hotspots. also radio blackputs of GPS systems freezing areblikely .  Many unusual  interruptions of radio transmissions  TV even the Web occure4d since morning the 9th  and  could be already reated to this the SPE , THe primary impactbof this global SPE weas on the 60. longitude east in the Western Pacific. 


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Astronomical constellations :

weathersymbols






R

R

R

R


20.10->
16.10.

1.10>
16.10.

 2 10>
9.10. R>


>





16





22.3.


         
 
               


               



17.10./ 12 UTC


 2.10./ 20UTC U16.10./ 8TC  29.10./ 18UTC U22.10./ 2TC high



9.10./ 13UTC- low U2.10./ 21 TC

29.10./ 23 UTC







  17.10./ 2 UTC none











 
links to all other  months >  (will be   constructed  in 2023)   


  ...   
                 
NORTHERN HEMISPHERE*
                    green= seeding* brown= plant*
Date  Day Begin (UTC)  Tendency  Temperatures  Air Precipitation   Wind dynamics warnings watering gardening
01

TU


11
 


 
 
      plantin
g  >
02



WE
 





 

 

   
03

TH

 
   
 
04

FR
 
     
 
05

SA


09
 
       

06
SU

 21
 
         
07

MO
           
08

TU

   



          
   
09

WE
 

09
              seeding after 10 UTC 
10
TH
               
11

FR


16
       
12
SA
         
13 

SU


16
   
 
14

MO
     
 
15

TU


09
   
 
16

WE
 
       
17
TH

21
         
18
FR
           
19
SA

12
         
20 SU            

21

MO

     
 
22
TU


00



seeding after 2 UTC
 
   
 
23

WE





     
 
24

TH




03



       
25

FR



19



         
26
SA


 


         
27
SU


 


         
28
MO



16



       

29

TU


 




         
30
MO



     
 
31
TU


 


     
 
      on SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE opposite. seeding time = planting time, upward node =downward node- upper soltice = low soltice


part II

welcome to

Solar cycle 25


-special-  Solar Proton events 

2024- October-07 after 23 UTC 

(2) 2024- October 09 after 02 UTC
SOLAR PARTICLE EVENT
 INVOLVED ACTIVE SOLAR REGION:
(2) SR 13848 WHILE PASSING TZHE CENTRAL SOLAR MERIDIAN 


  
 MAJOR X- RAY EVENTS
(2)BY Solen.info: 
October 9: A full halo CME was observed after the X1 flare in AR 13848 early in the day. This CME will likely overtake the previously mentioned CMEs and arrive after noon on October 10.

 
 EARTH DIRECTED CME EVENTS:
 
 ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME  (2) 20241010
 
 CME IMPACT SIZE ON GOES  
   
 SEP:  
(1)PROTON IMPACT BEGIN
(2)20241009 after 2 UTC

 
 MAXIMUM > 10 MeV Protons > 10oo pfu0pfu!!
 
 (2)ELECTRON ACCUMULATION

yet ongoing from previous SPEs 
 NOT JET  
 MAXIMUM
major disturbances geomagnetic storms 

 
 MEASUREMENTS BACK TO NORMAL:
expectable to last over at leastvthe next several weeks 
  
 
(2) 



  
 SOLAR MAP SOLEN. INFO FLARE IMAGE SOHO- SDO 
 




(2)

 




 
 SEP IMAGE STEREO AHEAD longitudes 
 


(1)(2)This was the last image  STEREO AHEAD made form the Proton event before it suffered  a total blackout for about 5 hours:


 

 
 PROTON ARRIVAL (GOES)  ACTIVE ELECTRONS (PHASE II) 
 





  
 TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS: 
 REGIONS WITH THEORETIC POSSIBILITY OF STRONGER MAGMATIC HOTSPOT ACTIVITIES AND EARTHQUAKES :

 
  Main SEP IMPACT ZONES / LONGITUDES :   geomagnetic longitude: 170° W
North America Alaska
 
 RELATED: SOLAR OBSERVATORIES 
GOES- Proton FLUXSOLAR TERRESTRIAL RELATIONS OBSERVATORY (STEREO) 
GOES Electron fluxSDO 
GOES X ray solar flaresSoHO 
GOES GEOMAGNETIC  FIELDREGULARY SPECIAL REPORTS 
Advanced Composition Explorer Solen.info 
NASA D RAP- particle absorptionNASA SOLAR ACTIVITY REPORT 
RADIO SWEEPS/ BLACKOUTSkkkk 
CME EVOLUTIONPOLAR LIGHTS 






 COINCIDENT TERRESTRIAL EVENT







VOLCANIC EVENT
DATE 

NAME OF VOLCANO:    
REGION:  
ON MAP:  
GOOGLE EARTH:  
ALERT LEVEL

REPORTS: 

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VOLCANIC EVENT
DATE 

NAME OF VOLCANO 
REGION: 
ON MAP:  
GOOGLE EARTH: 
ALERT LEVEL

REPORTS: 
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MAJOR EARTHQUAKES



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STORMS









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international cosmodynamic weatherforecast