INTERNATIONAL COSMODYNAMIC WEATHERFORECAST/25. Solar Sun Spot Cycle- special SEP report

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scroll down to my Solar cycle 25 special event report

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1. cosmodynamic weather forecast

OCTOBER 2024

provided by universal-news.de

SOLAR EVENTS:

(4) 20241026 after 10 UTVC AR 13872 obviously produced another stronger SPE even < 50 Mev and > 100 MeV Protons rose further following the strong X+ flare after 10 UTC

(3) 20241024 after 8:50 UTC- Begin of new SPE after X 3.3. flare in AR 13872 that has justv totated in on the eastern solar lim
.

(2) update: 20241009 LARGEST SOLAR STORM ( PROTON EVENT) SINCE AT LEAST ONE DECADE!

read more below thec weather firecast....

Astronomical constellations :

weathersymbols

20.10->

16.10.

1.10>

16.10.

2 10>

9.10. R>

22.3.

17.10./ 12 UTC

2.10./ 20UTC

U16.10./ 8TC

29.10./ 18UTC

U22.10./ 2TC high

9.10./ 13UTC- low

U2.10./ 21 TC

29.10./ 23 UTC

17.10./ 2 UTC

none

links to

all other

months >

(will be

constructed

in 2023)

...

NORTHERN HEMISPHERE*

green= seeding*

brown= plant*

Date

Day

Begin (UTC)

Tendency

Temperatures

Air

Precipitation

Wind

dynamics

warnings

watering

gardening

plantin
g >

seeding after 10 UTC

seeding after 2 UTC

on SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE opposite. seeding time = planting time, upward node =downward node- upper soltice = low soltice

part II

welcome to

Solar sun spot cycle 25

- next sun spot maximum in 2023/24-

-----------

< (SDO realtime ) the Sun now (SOHO realtime ) >

-special- Solar Proton events

and their terrestrial "coincidences" resp. effects.

LICK HERE FOR: Integral electron flux

(indicator for: magmatic untrusion and subduction activities(earthquakes)

)

4) 20241026 after 10 UTVC AR 13872 obviously produced another stronger SPE even < 50 Mev and > 100 MeV Protons rose further following the strong X+ flare after 10 UTC( 3)20241024 after 8:50 UTC- Begin of new SPE after X 3.3. flare in AR 13872 that has justv totated in on the eastern solar lim (2) 2024- October 09 after 02 UTC (3) minor SPE 2024- October-07 after 23 UTC	SOLAR PARTICLE EVENT
INVOLVED ACTIVE SOLAR REGION: INVOLVED ACTIVE SOLAR REGION: (3)New AR 13872 [S17E68] is a complex and compact spot group with obvious major flare potential. The region was the source of the X3 flare early in the day. (2) SR 13848 WHILE PASSING TZHE CENTRAL SOLAR MERIDIAN
EVENT HISTORY- TEXTFORM: update- 20241019_(image) As I guess, the (2) protons from the "full halo" SPE emitted on Oct 09 are still very fast and therefore still on a polar earth orbit ( what since there was no earth directed CME in lhe last days seems to be the probable cause for the intensive aurora borealis that still can be observed during the past days . The major geophysical effects of the strong SPE on Okt 09 suczbas tghe typical rise of the integral electron flux therefor justv delays and will be expectable in the next days when these protons emitted as a direct hit , while the related AR was crossing thensolar meridian, with almost light velócity will enter the Southern magnetic pole where they finally will be slown down: It needs to follow the development of such a rare superfast " fully halo" SPE to find out their special behaviour.
MAJOR X- RAY EVENTS
EARTH DIRECTED CME EVENTS: (3)	October 23: A CME was observed after the C7 flare in AR 13863 peaking at 12:12 UT. The CME could reach Earth on October 26.	October 24: An asymmetric full halo CME was observed after the X3 flare in AR 13872. A solar wind shock could reach Earth on October 26.
ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME
CME IMPACT SIZE ON GOES

SEP:
(1)PROTON IMPACT BEGIN
MAXIMUM
(2)ELECTRON ACCUMULATION
MAXIMUM
MEASUREMENTS BACK TO NORMAL:

SOLAR MAP SOLEN. INFO	FLARE IMAGE SOHO- SDO
	(4) (3) (2)
SEP IMAGE STEREO AHEAD	longitudes
(4) (3) (2)
PROTON ARRIVAL (GOES)	ACTIVE ELECTRONS (PHASE II)
(2)	none yet
TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS:
REGIONS WITH THEORETIC POSSIBILITY OF STRONGER MAGMATIC HOTSPOT ACTIVITIES AND EARTHQUAKES :
Main SEP IMPACT ZONES / LONGITUDES :	geomagnetic longitude/...... hemisphere:
RELATED:	SOLAR OBSERVATORIES
GOES- Proton FLUX	SOLAR TERRESTRIAL RELATIONS OBSERVATORY (STEREO)
GOES Electron flux	SDO
GOES X ray solar flares	SoHO
GOES GEOMAGNETIC FIELD	REGULARY SPECIAL REPORTS
Advanced Composition Explorer	Solen.info
NASA D RAP- particle absorption	NASA SOLAR ACTIVITY REPORT
RADIO SWEEPS/ BLACKOUTS	kkkk
CME EVOLUTION	POLAR LIGHTS

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COINCIDENT TERRESTRIAL EVENTS:
1 HOTSPOTS/ Magmaintrusion

CANARY ISLANDS MAGMA INTRUSION -MICROQUAKE SERIES

Magnitude 3.0 Region CANARY ISLANDS, SPAIN REGION Date time 2024-10-11 18:12:43.5 UTC Location 27.693 ; -18.069 Depth 19 km Distance 193 km SW of La Laguna, Spain / pop: 150,000 / local time: 19:12:43.5 2024-10-11 9 km SSW of Frontera, Spain / pop: 4,000 / local time: 19:12:43.5 2024-10-11

Magnitude 3.0 Region CANARY ISLANDS, SPAIN REGION Date time 2024-10-11 18:12:43.5 UTC Location 27.693 ; -18.069 Depth 19 km Distance 193 km SW of La Laguna, Spain / pop: 150,000 / local time: 19:12:43.5 2024-10-11 9 km SSW of Frontera, Spain / pop: 4,000 / local time: 19:12:43.5 2024-10-11

MAGMATIC MICROQUAKE ACTIVITY NEAR EIFEL VOLCANO FIELD / GERMANY:

Magnitude 0.7 Region GERMANY Date time 2024-10-10 22:04:34.5 UTC Location 50.098 ; 7.356 Depth 11 km Distance 33 km SSW of Koblenz, Germany / pop: 107,000 / local time: 00:04:34.5 2024-10-11 7 km WNW of Kastellaun, Germany / pop: 5,200 / local time: 00:04:34.5 2024-10-11

VOLCANIC EVENT
DATE

NAME OF VOLCANO:
REGION:
ON MAP:
GOOGLE EARTH:
ALERT LEVEL

REPORTS:

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VOLCANIC EVENT
DATE

NAME OF VOLCANO:
REGION:
ON MAP:
GOOGLE EARTH:
ALERT LEVEL

REPORTS:
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MAJOR EARTHQUAKES

Magnitude 5.2 Region NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE Date time 2024-10-16 22:25:01.7 UTC
intensive swarmquake:Magnitude 6.0 Region EASTERN TURKEY Date time 2024-10-16 07:46:32.8 UTC Location 38.309 ; 38.829
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STORMS

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