International cosmodynamic weatherforecast May 2023 + 25. Solar Sun Spot Cycle- special SEP report

   

INTERNATIONAL COSMODYNAMIC WEATHERFORECAST/25. Solar Sun Spot Cycle- special SEP report

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site status: please note. this site needs still some technical improvement and development,  I only can learn by doing . 

scroll down to my  Solar cycle 25 special event report 

BREAKING NEWS- 20230508 new solar proton event-

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1. cosmodynamic weather forecast

MAY 2023

click here for 2023 ( under construction)

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START

completed  - last update. 20230502

Astronomical Constellations May 01:

14.5... >			R- 15.5..>	5.5.. >	16.5. >	15.5.>				2.5. R
				22.3.
			05. 05/ 18  UTC	19. 5. 16 UTC	17.05.- 21 UTC	UTC	9.5. - 10 UTC	22.5.- 15 UTC	26.5.- 3  UTC	11.5.- 6  UTC	none
links to	all other	months >	(will be	constructed	in 2023)			...
										NORTHERN HEMISPHERE*
										green= seeding*	brown= plant*
Date	Day	Begin (UTC)	Tendency	Temperatures	Air	Precipitation	Wind	dynamics	warnings	watering	gardening
01	MO	1)									plantin g  >
02	TU
03	WE
04	TH
05	FR	10
06	SA	17
07	SU
08	MO	23
09	TU										seeding after 0 UTC
10	WE
11	TH	00
12	FR
13	SA	20									Sun into Taurus>
14	SU	19
15	MO
16	TU
17	WE	13
18	TH
19	FR	09
20	SA
21	SU
22	MO	04
23	TU
24	WE	211
25	TH
26	FR	06
27	SA
28	SU
29	MO	04								??
30	TU
31	WE
			on SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE opposite. seeding time = planting time, upward node =downward node- upper soltice = low soltice
part II welcome to                          < (SDO realtime ) the Sun now (SOHO realtime ) > Solar cycle 25 -special-  Solar Proton events  and their terrestrial "coincidences" resp. effects. 20230516- (about at )17:50 UTC :  another minor SPE:(below treshold) source:AR 13309 ----------------------- M 7.1 - SOUTHEAST OF LOYALTY ISLANDS - 2023-05-20 01:51:00 UTC M 7.7 - SOUTHEAST OF LOYALTY ISLANDS - 2023-05-19 02:57:05 UTC ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2023- 05-09 SOLAR PARTICLE EVENT  INVOLVED ACTIVE SOLAR REGION: 13296 very active 14 major C flares 7 M flares on 20230509 Region 13296 [N16W07] developed in the southern central spot section with resulted in polarity  intermixing. Long duration M flares were recorded towards the end of the day and one or  two Earth directed halo CMEs were observed soon afterwards. C1 flares: C1.6 @ 21:05 UTC    MAJOR X- RAY EVENTS  -20230507 M 1.5 at 22:34- M 1.6 at 23:22- (LDE. CME) -20230509/18:58 : M4.2/1B-  full halo CME, proton eventstrong type IV radio sweep -20230509 M6.5/moderate type II radio sweep    EARTH DIRECTED CME EVENTS:  May 7: Halo CMEs were observed after the M1 long duration events in AR 13296  towards the end of the day. The CMEs could reach Earth on May 10 and cause unsettled to major storm conditons.    ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME      CME IMPACT SIZE ON GOES            SEP:     (1)PROTON IMPACT BEGIN  20230508- after 1 UTC ongoing    MAXIMUM EXCEEDING TRESHOLD OF 10 PFU AFTER 12  maximum 36,4 pfu) AND ON 20230510  after 2. SEP on 20230509  WITH MAX 80,6 PFU AFTER 0 UTC    (2)ELECTRON ACCUMULATION      MAXIMUM    MEASUREMENTS BACK TO NORMAL:            SOLAR MAP SOLEN. INFO  FLARE IMAGE SOHO- SDO          SEP IMAGE STEREO AHEAD  NASA D RAP- particle absorption-       20230511    PROTON ARRIVAL (GOES)   ACTIVE ELECTRONS (PHASE II)      none yet    TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS:    REGIONS WITH THEORETIC POSSIBILITY OF STRONGER MAGMATIC HOTSPOT ACTIVITIES AND EARTHQUAKES :     Main SEP IMPACT ZONES / LONGITUDES : east and west of/ main impact at  180° UTC geomagnetic longitude/impact longitudes gradually reaching from Western Pacific and USA Westwards to Eurasia- until the Atlantic, minot effects could occure on the CANARY ISLAND and ICELAND      RELATED:  SOLAR OBSERVATORIES   GOES- Proton FLUX SOLAR TERRESTRIAL RELATIONS OBSERVATORY (STEREO)   GOES Electron flux SDO   GOES X ray solar flares SoHO   GOES GEOMAGNETIC  FIELD REGULARY SPECIAL REPORTS   Advanced Composition Explorer  Solen.info   NASA D RAP- particle absorption NASA SOLAR ACTIVITY REPORT   RADIO SWEEPS/ BLACKOUTS kkkk   CME EVOLUTION POLAR LIGHTS    COINCIDENT TERRESTRIAL EVENT VOLCANIC EVENT DATE  20230522 NAME OF VOLCANO  ETNA   REGION   Eurasia   GOOGLE EARTH ETNA   ALERT LEVEL REPORTS ----------------------------------------------------------------- < VOLCANIC EVENT DATE  NAME OF VOLCANO   REGION   ON MAP   GOOGLE EARTH   ALERT LEVEL REPORTS ----------------------------------------------------------------- MAJOR OR EXTRAORDINARY EARTHQUAKES M 5.6 - IZU ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION - 2023-05-14 10:11:34 UTC M 5.4 - NORTHERN CALIFORNIA - 2023-05-11 23:19:41 UTC M 7.6 - TONGA - 2023-05-10 16:02:00 UTC -------------------------------------------------------------------------- STORMS 20230511- ongoing- TROPICAL CYCLONE MOCHA video symbols used in this forecast:
exceptions
planetary
constellations
weathersymbols
gardening									various
months

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