INTERNATIONAL COSMODYNAMIC WEATHERFORECAST/25. Solar Sun Spot Cycle- special SEP report

provided by universal-news.de

site status: please note. this site needs still some technical improvement and development, I only can learn by doing .

scroll down to my Solar cycle 25 special event report

I am still illl and have to lie in bed its all very difficult but I will maintain this site as soon as possible!!

1. cosmodynamic weather forecast

SEPTEMBER 2024

provided by universal-news.de

SPE/ news alerts (scroll down) :

20240914- a third solar proton event (solar storm) has emerged form another active region thatb just rotated in at the eastern solar limb. Proton values just dropping are another time rising towardstreshold of 10 pfu. Major geological events - magmatic quakes and hot spot magma intrusion become more and more likely, while he electrons those were accumulated with the prrevious proton events are still heating up the norther solar regions and cause strange weather effects

20240909 after 22 UTC begin of new solar SPE continuing previous one from 20240901. proton flux ecxceeding on 20240910 treshold of 10 pfu and drop since than.

...new likely magmatic microquake swarm in gmore than 30 km depth around a seamount between Tenerife and Gran Canaria on canary islands- one larger event yesterday was felt as shaking on Gran Canaria

last update: 20240914 -

Astronomical constellations :

weathersymbols

16.9. >

23.09-->

4.9, >

2,8 R>

22.3.

UTC

18.9. 3 UTC

3.9.- 3 UTC

18.9.-21 UTC

5.9 - 7 UTC

24.9.-18 UTC high

12.9.- 6 UTC- low

4.9.- 16 UTC

18,9, 14 UTC

none

links to

all other

months >

(will be

constructed

in 2023)

...

NORTHERN HEMISPHERE*

green= seeding*

brown= plant*

Date

Day

Begin (UTC)

Tendency

Temperatures

Air

Precipitation

Wind

dynamics

warnings

watering

gardening

plantin
g >

until 10

seeding after 06 UTC

planting after 18 UTC

light

on SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE opposite. seeding time = planting time, upward node =downward node- upper soltice = low soltice

part II

welcome to

Solar cycle 25

-special- Solar Proton events

and their terrestrial "coincidences" resp. effects.

20240901

(!) 20240901 AFTER 23 UTC

(2) 20240909- after 05 UTC

reports by

(3) 20240914- after 16 UTC

SOLAR PARTICLE EVENTS (SPE)

INVOLVED ACTIVE SOLAR REGION:bysolen.info

(1) 10082 rotating in on eastern limb

(2)M1.0 03:28 southwest limb 13806 GOES16 LDE

(3) AR 13825 infos by solen.info

13825

2024.09.12
2024.09.13

S18E63

0240

DAC

EAC

beta-gamma

area: 0430

location: S17E63

MAJOR associated X- RAY EVENTS

EARTH DIRECTED CME EVENTS:

(1)September 1: A full halo CME was observed after the long duration M5.5 flare in AR S10082. While the main part of the CME won't affect Earth, there is a small chance of a solar wind shock and a minor disturbance on September 4.
(2)September 9-10: A partial halo CME was observed most off the northern hemisphere limbs and the north pole following a long duration M class event in AR 13814. This event peaked at 00:16 UT on September 10.
(2)
(3)September 14: A full halo CME was observed after the X4.5 flare in AR 13825 peaking at 15:29 UT. While the fastest parts of the CME are not in the path of Earth, there is a chance of a fairly strong disturbance starting during the latter half of September 16. This CME will likely arrive just after the September 13 CME.

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME

CME IMPACT SIZE ON GOES

OVERALL ESTIMATION >>>

The three SPE in September were with a maximum of 33 pfu rather weak with minor immidiate volcanic effecte through hot spots but had at all a long duration also to be expected for the subsequent electrone accumulation following each proton impact. what has effects on the weather. . Effects however must be exspected to accumulate with each new SPE

SEP:

(1)PROTON IMPACT BEGIN

(3) 20240914 after16 UTC

MAXIMUM

(2)ELECTRON ACCUMULATION

Ongoing

MAXIMUM

> exceeding 1000 pfu. on 20240914- disturbance

MEASUREMENTS BACK TO NORMAL:

probably active for more weeks

(1)
(3)

NASA D RAP

(1)

(3)

SOLAR MAP SOLEN. INFO

FLARE IMAGE SOHO- SDO

(1)

(3)

(1)

(3)

SEP IMAGE STEREO AHEAD

longitudes

(1)

(3)

PROTON ARRIVAL (GOES)

ACTIVE ELECTRONS (PHASE II)

(1)

(2)
(3)

TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS:

REGIONS WITH THEORETIC POSSIBILITY OF STRONGER MAGMATIC HOTSPOT ACTIVITIES AND EARTHQUAKES :

Main SEP IMPACT ZONES / LONGITUDES :

geomagnetic longitude

RELATED:

SOLAR OBSERVATORIES

GOES- Proton FLUX

SOLAR TERRESTRIAL RELATIONS OBSERVATORY (STEREO)

GOES Electron flux

SDO

GOES X ray solar flares

SoHO

GOES GEOMAGNETIC FIELD

REGULARY SPECIAL REPORTS

Advanced Composition Explorer

Solen.info

NASA D RAP- particle absorption

NASA SOLAR ACTIVITY REPORT

RADIO SWEEPS/ BLACKOUTS

kkkk

CME EVOLUTION

POLAR LIGHTS

COINCIDENT TERRESTRIAL EVENT
update- 20240911..new likely magmatic microquake swarm in gmore than 30 km depth around a seamount between Tenerife and Gran Canaria on canary islands- one larger event yesterday was felt as shaking on Gran Canaria
agnitude 2.6
Region CANARY ISLANDS, SPAIN REGION
Date time 2024-09-11 10:16:04.4 UTC
Location 28.091 ; -16.152
Depth 38 km
Distance 43 km SSE of Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Spain / pop: 222,000 / local time: 11:16:04.4 2024-09-11
42 km E of Granadilla de Abona, Spain / pop: 39,900 / local time: 11:16:04.4 2024-09-11

VOLCANIC EVENT
DATE

NAME OF VOLCANO:
REGION:
ON MAP:
GOOGLE EARTH:
ALERT LEVEL

REPORTS:

-----------------------------------------------------------------

VOLCANIC EVENT
DATE

NAME OF VOLCANO:
REGION:
ON MAP:
GOOGLE EARTH:
ALERT LEVEL

REPORTS:
------------------------------------------------------------

MAJOR EARTHQUAKES

Magnitude 3.8
Region CANARY ISLANDS, SPAIN REGION
Date time 2024-09-10 18:20:30.2 UTC
Location 28.182 ; -15.604
Depth 20 km
Distance 21 km WNW of Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain / pop: 381,000 / local time: 19:20:30.2 2024-09-10

--------------------------------------------------------------------------

STORMS